- A1/2
- B1/4
- C1/3
- D1/6
Step-by-Step Solution
The other three runners are irrelevant, so look only at the order in which Arun, Bina and Chetan finish among themselves. Those three can be ordered in 3! = 6 equally likely ways, and Arun comes first in 2 of them — Arun, Bina, Chetan and Arun, Chetan, Bina. So the probability is 2/6 = 1/3. The same follows from symmetry: each of the three is equally likely to be the first of the three home. The value 1/2 answers the head-to-head question 'is Arun ahead of Bina', which ignores Chetan altogether. The value 1/4 comes from multiplying 1/2 by 1/2 as though 'ahead of Bina' and 'ahead of Chetan' were independent — they are not, since beating Bina makes it likelier that Arun ran a fast race and beat Chetan too. The value 1/6 is the probability that Arun wins the whole race against all five rivals, which is far more than was asked.
Answer: C) 1/3