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A district agriculture office holds that the recorded voice call warning growers of a pest attack is what reduced the loss of the standing crop. Which of the following, if true, most strengthens the office's position?

Competition practiceLogical / Critical
  • AThe calls reached the district's four blocks in four different months, because the growers' numbers had to be gathered block by block, and in every block the loss began to fall in the month the calls started there and in no month before it
  • BA grower who received the call could hear it again by dialling a number that cost him nothing
  • CThe same pest attacked the standing crop in each of the three years before the calls began
  • DThe office also printed the same warning in a note pinned up at each block office

Step-by-Step Solution

Four blocks that took the calls in four different months make four small trials, and a fall that begins in each block only once the calls reach it — never earlier — is very hard to credit to weather or to the season, which would have moved all four blocks together. That staggered timing is what turns a coincidence into evidence. A free repeat line describes the service rather than its effect, three earlier years of attack establish only that the pest is a regular one, and the pinned-up note introduces a second possible cause instead of supporting the calls.
Answer: A) The calls reached the district's four blocks in four different months, because the growers' numbers had to be gathered block by block, and in every block the loss began to fall in the month the calls started there and in no month before it

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