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A municipal water office repaired the leaking joints in one zone last year, and the water lost between the treatment plant and the zone's taps fell by nine per cent over the following twelve months. The office concludes that the repairs produced the saving. Which of the following, if true, most weakens that conclusion?

Competition practiceLogical / Critical
  • AThe repairs were carried out by a contractor rather than by the water office's own staff
  • BWater lost in that zone had already been falling by about nine per cent a year for each of the four years before the repairs, as the oldest pipes were steadily taken out of use under a replacement programme that ran on unchanged through last year
  • CA few of the joints repaired last year had been repaired once before, several years earlier
  • DThe zone has more taps in it than any other zone the office supplies

Step-by-Step Solution

The zone was already shedding nine per cent of its losses every year without any joint repairs, and the programme that produced that fall carried on regardless. The whole of last year's nine per cent is therefore accounted for before the repairs are even brought in, and the office has nothing left over to credit them with. Who did the work, whether some joints had been repaired before and the number of taps in the zone all leave the size of the saving exactly where it was.
Answer: B) Water lost in that zone had already been falling by about nine per cent a year for each of the four years before the repairs, as the oldest pipes were steadily taken out of use under a replacement programme that ran on unchanged through last year

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